The last few days …

December 14, 2009

It’s been pretty busy news-wise the last few days, we’ve had:

  • The ongoing trials and tribulations of the Tiger Woods infidelity scandal have continued as sponsor Accenture terminates partnership with the golf champ after six years but other sponsors such as Tag Heuer and Gillette decide to stand by their man, Tag Heuer releasing the statement that Woods is ‘the best in his domain’. Meanwhile, it looks like his wife, Elin Nordegren, has possibly bought a $2 million secluded house in Sweden, perhaps where the couple will sit out for the next few months and escape the media spotlight. No doubt of some comfort to Tiger is that Playgirl magazine has decided not to publish nude photographs allegedly of the golf star, as they can not verify 100% whether the photos are indeed of him.
  • Silvio Berlusconi was attacked by a projectile whilst signing autographs during a rally in Milan. The attack left the Italian Prime Minister with a bloody face and in considerable pain with a broken nose and two broken teeth. He will remain in hospital for the next thirty-six hours. His attacker allegedly has a history of mental illness.
  • Last month it was revealed that North Korea had been building bunkers under the DMZ from 2004 until 2008 during the leadership of South Korean President Roh Moo-hyun, whilst the two nations had a relatively closer relationship than now under the failed ‘Sunshine Policy’, which aimed to bring closer ties and trade with the view towards eventual reunification between the two Koreas. North Korea was found to have built 800 bunkers between 2004 and 2008, and had planned 1,000 bunkers all in all. Despite the Sunshine Policy, North Korea had plans and made war preparations with a look towards possible invasion by ground troops.
  • Meanwhile, just one week after US envoy Stephen Bosworth’s trip to Pyongyang, Thai authorities in Bangkok, following on a US intelligence tip, have seized a plane from North Korea piloted by a Belarussian and with four Kazahk crew members which contained a large amount of powerful weapons, in clear violation of UN-imposed sanctions on North Korea. The planned final destination of the plane is thus far undetermined.
  • And last, but definitely not least, straight off the press and Twitter. The Copenhagen Climate Summit has been suspended and is in chaos as member nations of the G77,which represents 130 developing nations, have decided to walk out of the Conference due to what they believe is Western reluctance to discuss a legally binding emissions treaty. This is coming after last week’s leak of a document supposedly delivered to developed nations in which they would sign a secret deal amongst themselves between the scenes of the Copenhagen Climate summit. No doubt more news on this to come…

A good book worth a read is …

December 3, 2009

A good book worth a read is China – Fragile Superpower by China expert,  former Deputy Assistant Secretary of State under the Clinton administration and current professor on International Relations and Pacific Studies, Susan Shirk.

The book explains and examines the many complex factors which define, underline, and often potentially undermine the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) as it continues to weave the fine line of keeping its economy going along steadily whilst keeping its increasingly mobile, educated, spirited and critical populace happy, (or at least pre-occupied with other concerns), all the while having to deal with trade agreements and alliances, foreign partners and former foes, disputed regions and potential flashpoints both within and near the country.

Having opened up to the world with Nixon’s state visit in 1972 and furthermore in 1979 with Deng Xiaoping’s economic reforms of “socialism with capitalist characteristics” which have transformed the sleeping giant into an economic dragon in a generation, the CCP can no longer rely on trotting out the old Communist lines that once placated the masses as its increasingly sophisticated and educated populace no longer believe it. What the CCP has found as a substitute in motivating and rallying the public behind a uniting cause is to use nationalism as a basis to underpin Chinese identity and enable the CCP to continue with its agenda. The trouble comes though when its time to rein in the masses once their spleen has been opened to vent against a common foe (usually either Japan*, Taiwan or the US) before it either jeopardises foreign relations and trade, leads to war or – what the CCP fear the most – brings down the central communist Government.

* – The 2005 anti-Japanese demonstrations are one such notable example where the powers that be initially supported and allowed the masses to protest, before deciding to clamp down on the protests a month later as they were starting to impact negatively on China’s trade relationship with Japan and China’s image abroad.

The book clearly details and explains the many push-pull factors and balancing efforts the CCP and its many and various wings have to manipulate in order to achieve internal unity and stability whilst at the same time not jeopardise its foreign relations and trade on which the economy relies on to grow, as the CCP well know once the economy dips and jobs become scarce, the conditions become ripe for civil unrest which is the worst case scenario for the CCP.

Shirk’s book also looks at the power structures and hierarchy of the various branches of the CCP and China’s all-powerful military, whom the CCP know they must appease lest there be any military revolt.

Chinese – Fragile Superpower does a thorough job of explaining and detailing the many domestic and foreign issues which the CCP must manage to keep the world’s most populous, and 3rd largest (both physically and economically) nation progressing without disintegrating as the world is more intertwined than ever and China and the US, as the book demonstrates, are intricately connected so that if one economy collapses the other will too, and with that a massive black eye or worse for the world as a whole.

Now that China has been opened and its economy set rolling it simply cannot turn back. The CCP know this all too well and now are more fragile and paranoid than ever to keep the lid on firmly so that they stay in control.

A fascinating book and must-read for anyone interested in China, US-Chinese relations, China’s relations with its neighbours, and China’s many problems and issues with its huge, dynamic and diverse population.


Breaking News :: Former South Korean President Kim Dae-jung dies

August 18, 2009

Former South Korean President and Nobel Peace Prize recipient, Kim Dae-jung has passed away today after a battle with pneumonia. He was President from February 25, 1998 – February 25, 2003, being the second democratically elected leader of the Republic of Korea. He was a left-leaning, former democracy activist who spent time in jail under the conservative Government of Park Chung-hee, and will be strongly remembered for his engagement with North Korea, labeled the ‘ Sunshine Policy‘ which culminated in a historic summit with North Korean leader, Kim Jong-il in 2000, but largely failed to bring better conditions to ordinary North Koreans.

He was an interesting man, who lived a traumatic, interesting life. May he Rest In Peace.

It has not been a good year so far for former South Korean Presidents.

(HT to Brian and the Marmot)


Nationalism in Asia – Can Asia learn from 20th century Europe’s mistakes?

August 11, 2009

Anyone whose spent time in Asia or studied Asian nations – be it East Asian nations such as Japan, South Korea and China; SE Asian nations such as Malaysia, Indonesia and Vietnam; or Southern and Western Asian nations such as India, Pakistan and Iran (and not to mention more extreme nations such as Myanmar and North Korea) – will notice that a common thread which runs through most Asian nations – be they Buddhist, Communist, Islamic or atheist – is a strong sense of national identity often to levels resembling nationalistic Europe of the early- and mid- 20th century.

Asian nationalism often revolves around the main – or until recently in ethnically homogeneous nations such as Japan and South Korea, essentially only – ethnic group, whereby children are often taught and in many cases indoctrinated to foster a strong love of country, (majority) ethnic and national identity. A shot of national identity and pride may be good in small doses to foster a co-operative, harmonious and communal society. But, when this national identity and pride is indoctrinated to levels that excludes others – be they native-born residents of minority ethnicity, migrants or foreign nationals, that’s when the slope gets a bit slippery. If all your neighbours feel the same way with the same sense of strong national pride in a vast yet crowded and increasingly powerful and influential continent that’s when things start to look increasingly troublesome for the future. And, when the nationalism takes the form of resentment, animosity, intolerance or downright hatred towards your neighbours for past, present or perceived future atrocities, that’s when things feel like they’re starting to resemble a warm summer’s day in 1914′s  Sarajevo.

Don’t think for a minute that the West is immune from its own version of nationalism – these links with provide examples of ethnic-based nationalism/conflict in Western nations: example 1 from the US, example 2 from the UK, and example 3 from Australia. The main difference between these examples and the situation throughout most of Asia is that in the vast majority of secular Western nations, nationalism is not indoctrinated by the State, is not actively taught in school curriculum, not as widespread and no longer institutionalised yet, still unfortunately largely existent but in many cases punished.

The situation is quite different in many parts of Asia however. Let’s look at the multi-ethnic, multi-religious state of Malaysia for example, where the majority Muslim Malay population are advantaged through the Bumiputera policy at the expense of other ethnic groups – most notably Chinese- and Indian-Malaysians. Or, South Korea, yes South Korea not North Korea, where snippets of Korean nationalism – often taking the form of anti-American or anti-Japanese sentiment yet curiously rarely significant anti-Chinese sentiment – can be found expressed here and here.

Now, let’s briefly cast the spotlight over to China who right now have been actively bullying a sovereign Western nation, Australia, into not allowing a film by Uighur activist, Rebiya Kadeer, to be shown at an International Film Festival in Melbourne. Not to mention the litany of sins committed under State-sponsored oppression of minority ethnic and religious groups within China most notably in Tibet and Xinjiang. And, that’s just the tip of the iceberg believe me.

Anyone whose followed the news since the Partition of 1947 will know the bitter, simmering, hot/cold conflict between Muslim-majority Pakistan and Hindu-majority India has already spawned four wars, numerous terrorist attacks and proliferation of nuclear weapons by both parties. The heart of this ongoing conflict lies largely along nationalist and religious lines, with the threat of increased conflict ever present. It’s in the world’s best interests that the 2nd most populous and 12th richest, and the 6th most populous and 48th richest nations never go to war again!

Not too mention the continued simmering bitterness, envy, tension, animosity and hatred towards Japan as a direct result of – and perceived lack of repatriations since – Japanese atrocities committed during the first half of the 20th century until 1945 throughout East and large parts of Southeast Asia, most notably in China and Korea, where decades-old, past Japanese atrocities are still actively taught and fresh on peoples’ minds. This bitterness is also exacerbated by the belief that Japan hasn’t made enough acknowledgments and repatriations both financially and emotionally for these past atrocities.  To this, Japan hasn’t helped the situation by occasionally revising its school texts to either distort, downplay, or put a positive spin on Japanese occupation and subsequent Japanese atrocities, whilst occasionally displaying strong insensitivity by having leaders attend the Yasukuni War Shine honouring Japanese soldiers and criminals, often architects of the most heinous atrocities. The still pronounced anti-Japanese sentiment in China and South Korea occasionally bubbles to the surface such as during the ongoing Dokdo/Takeshima dispute between South Korea and Japan. As China continues its progression to superpower status and with the global power shift that comes with this, you just have to hope that China, Japan, and South Korea in the middle, can find a way to resolve the issues of the past and look towards a prosperous, peaceful future for the sake not only of themselves but the entire world.

This post has only barely scratched the surface of Asian nationalism with its varying forms, intensity and manifestations. Here’s hoping 21st century Asia can find a way to resolve its many issues and find a way towards a more united, peaceful and prosperous future as this century- and most likely the one or two after -  is Asia’s century and the world cannot continue prosper, or even survive, with a divided, broken Asia. Let’s hope that doesn’t happen and that Asia learns from the lessons Europe learnt the hard way during the 20th century.


Breaking News:: Bill Clinton in North Korea

August 4, 2009

Breaking News :: Bill Clinton has arrived in Pyongyang, North Korea in an effort to secure the release of the two US journalists, Laura Ling and Euna Lee, detained in North Korea on charges of entering the country illegally.

I’m about to head back to work so I’ll update with more news once I return home.

Update :: Bill Clinton travels to Pyongyang where he meets with Kim Jong-il and other high-ranking officials of the secretive state and successfully manages to secure the release of US journalists, Laura Ling and Euna Lee. Onya Bill!

By the way, I thought the waving off at the end was a cute touch. ;)